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Red107
887428.5
471718.8
914060.6
Blue190
680089.8
258352.2
712153.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10020150150250300107190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+67
Endgame+77
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +53
14Coral scored#28
50Coral points101
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
18Processor points12
12Net points20
30Algae points32
80Total teleop133
Reef
8L4#18
5L3#9
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points6
107Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.5
51.551.0
Auto8.8
Teleop46.1
End5.8
blue by 29.2
89.80.5
82.281.7
Auto21.5
Teleop55.4
End12.9
Second
8874
#37
28.50.5
31.030.5
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
blue by 25.4
7121
#13
53.80.5
47.647.1
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
Third
4717
#32
18.80.5
20.119.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 33.5
2583
#23
52.20.5
50.349.8
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned