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Red128
947830.8
356131.9
557263.3
Blue111
624330.8
331062.0
912113.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210150150200128111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
88Total teleop74
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
128Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.8
60.461.1
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
red by 1.3
62.00.9
55.256.1
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
Second
3561
#30
31.90.8
34.134.9
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
red by 1.1
6243
#26
30.80.9
31.132.1
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.5
Third
9478
#31
30.80.8
22.122.9
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End3.0
red by 17.3
9121
#44
13.60.9
10.711.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned