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Red94
300592.0
258542.6
912113.6
Blue92
801929.5
941840.0
928918.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16078501002002509492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
5Coral scored#3
25Coral points13
34Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
44Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
2Foul points6
94Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.03.0
76.273.3
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
red by 52.0
9418
#11
40.00.3
33.033.3
Auto7.1
Teleop27.6
End5.2
Second
2585
#20
42.63.0
40.137.1
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
red by 13.1
8019
#41
29.50.3
23.724.1
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Third
9121
#44
13.63.0
11.38.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 4.6
9289
#35
18.20.3
12.913.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned