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Red147
769123.4
624330.8
541164.4
Blue180
589253.9
45747.0
1001453.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117148100200147180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+15
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +12
24Coral scored#26
86Coral points94
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
6Processor points18
24Net points16
30Algae points34
116Total teleop128
Reef
10L4#8
8L3#15
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +18
8Cage & park26
8Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
147Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#10
64.41.0
62.763.8
Auto15.1
Teleop39.1
End10.2
red by 10.5
5892
#17
53.91.8
50.552.2
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End4.0
Second
6243
#26
30.81.0
23.324.4
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.5
blue by 22.3
53.11.8
34.836.5
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
Third
7691
#43
23.41.0
18.519.5
Auto3.7
Teleop19.0
End0.6
blue by 23.6
457
#8
47.01.8
41.343.1
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned