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Red127
637741.6
32453.1
749252.2
Blue71
928918.2
887428.5
295021.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181755010015020025012771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+50Teleop
+48Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
91Total teleop58
Reef
10L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
8Foul points0
127Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#7
53.12.9
53.250.4
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
red by 24.6
8874
#37
28.50.9
30.529.6
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Second
7492
#15
52.22.9
52.149.2
Auto12.3
Teleop38.0
End1.9
red by 30.4
2950
#33
21.80.9
22.221.3
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
Third
6377
#27
41.62.9
47.544.7
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
red by 23.4
9289
#35
18.20.9
20.119.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed