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Red192
635748.1
589253.9
246862.4
Blue105
918128.9
367935.0
348121.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1839450150200250192105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+77Teleop
+85Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +80
31Coral scored#12
110Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
18Processor points12
28Net points20
46Algae points32
156Total teleop76
Reef
13L4#5
11L3#5
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
2Foul points0
192Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.41.4
61.162.5
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
red by 27.4
3679
#28
35.00.2
37.437.6
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
Second
5892
#17
53.91.4
56.558.0
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End4.0
red by 25.0
9181
#24
28.90.2
31.231.4
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.6
Third
6357
#14
48.11.4
39.841.2
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
red by 27.0
3481
#45
21.00.2
21.822.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed