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Red164
578832.6
769123.4
45747.0
Blue153
354533.0
951227.7
912851.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118151100200164153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points14
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
26Coral scored#20
95Coral points72
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
24Processor points12
16Net points16
40Algae points28
135Total teleop100
Reef
11L4#7
7L3#7
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points16
164Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#8
47.03.1
47.150.2
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
blue by 4.1
9128
#18
51.10.2
52.752.9
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Second
5788
#36
32.63.1
27.230.3
Auto7.5
Teleop23.8
End1.3
blue by 0.4
3545
#34
33.00.2
32.933.0
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
Third
7691
#43
23.43.1
22.425.4
Auto3.7
Teleop19.0
End0.6
blue by 4.3
9512
#40
27.70.2
30.831.0
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned