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Red193
1038522.5
356131.9
300592.0
Blue178
1034050.0
1001453.1
354533.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162147100200250193178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
34Coral scored#19
121Coral points67
1Processor algae#6
5Net algae#7
6Processor points36
20Net points28
26Algae points64
147Total teleop131
Reef
13L4#5
13L3#9
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points0
193Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.01.7
86.087.7
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
red by 38.9
53.12.0
47.549.5
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
Second
3561
#30
31.91.7
34.936.6
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
blue by 18.1
50.02.0
47.449.4
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Third
22.51.7
21.523.2
Auto2.9
Teleop17.3
End2.4
blue by 10.5
3545
#34
33.02.0
33.035.0
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned