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Red145
837028.7
801929.5
947830.8
Blue168
258352.2
463938.2
284852.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80162050100150200145168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+39
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave0
2Coral scored#9
10Coral points44
19Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +14
16Coral scored#27
58Coral points98
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
24Processor points6
24Net points16
48Algae points22
106Total teleop120
Reef
6L4#15
6L3#8
3L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
145Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9478
#31
30.83.4
22.926.2
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End3.0
blue by 21.9
2848
#16
52.71.3
48.950.2
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
Second
8019
#41
29.53.4
27.430.8
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End1.1
blue by 22.7
2583
#23
52.21.3
49.851.1
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
Third
8370
#39
28.73.4
27.030.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.9
End3.2
blue by 9.5
4639
#22
38.21.3
38.940.2
Auto6.6
Teleop28.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed