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Red124
918128.9
648824.8
45747.0
Blue72
912113.6
951227.7
887428.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145925020025012472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+40Teleop
+54Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
22Coral points14
22Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +32
18Coral scored#9
64Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
84Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points2
124Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#8
47.00.0
50.250.2
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
red by 18.5
8874
#37
28.51.0
29.628.6
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Second
9181
#24
28.90.0
31.431.4
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.6
red by 1.2
9512
#40
27.71.0
31.030.0
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
Third
6488
#38
24.80.0
27.927.8
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End2.4
red by 11.2
9121
#44
13.61.0
11.710.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed