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Red113
1038522.5
578832.6
295021.8
Blue222
300592.0
246862.4
947830.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78217050100150200250300350113222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+91
Endgame+115
Fouls+109
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
22Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +100
19Coral scored#25
69Coral points89
1Processor algae#5
2Net algae#16
6Processor points30
8Net points64
14Algae points94
83Total teleop183
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#10
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
6Foul points0
113Total score222

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5788
#36
32.61.0
32.633.6
Auto7.5
Teleop23.8
End1.3
blue by 59.4
92.01.9
87.789.7
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
Second
22.51.0
23.224.2
Auto2.9
Teleop17.3
End2.4
blue by 39.9
62.41.9
62.564.4
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
Third
2950
#33
21.81.0
21.322.3
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
blue by 9.1
9478
#31
30.81.9
26.228.2
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned