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Red115
837028.7
284852.7
348121.0
Blue161
912113.6
45747.0
680089.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11918350100150200250115161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+34
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points36
26Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +24
15Coral scored#21
53Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
75Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#12
5L3#9
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
115Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#16
52.70.3
50.249.9
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
blue by 37.1
89.80.1
83.883.8
Auto21.5
Teleop55.4
End12.9
Second
8370
#39
28.70.3
30.330.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.9
End3.2
blue by 18.3
457
#8
47.00.1
50.250.1
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
Third
3481
#45
21.00.3
22.021.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End1.4
red by 7.5
9121
#44
13.60.1
10.610.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned