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Red137
268743.8
258352.2
1034050.0
Blue151
367935.0
331062.0
463938.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14714950100200250137151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+10Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
26Coral points33
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points58
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
30Processor points12
24Net points20
54Algae points32
104Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#10
6L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points12
137Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#23
52.20.2
51.150.9
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
blue by 9.8
62.00.2
54.954.8
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
Second
50.00.2
49.449.2
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
red by 11.8
4639
#22
38.20.2
40.240.0
Auto6.6
Teleop28.4
End3.2
Third
2687
#29
43.80.2
31.831.5
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3
red by 8.8
3679
#28
35.00.2
37.637.5
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned