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Red113
711940.2
951227.7
801929.5
Blue106
356131.9
354533.0
928918.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110950100150200113106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points15
20Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +7
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
71Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points10
113Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7119
#19
40.20.1
38.138.0
Auto10.1
Teleop22.0
End8.0
red by 7.1
3545
#34
33.00.4
35.034.6
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
Second
8019
#41
29.50.1
30.830.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End1.1
blue by 2.4
3561
#30
31.90.4
36.636.2
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
Third
9512
#40
27.70.1
30.029.9
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
red by 9.5
9289
#35
18.20.4
19.218.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned