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Red106
648824.8
147761.3
912851.1
Blue135
471718.8
635748.1
1001453.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17212350100150200250106135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+33
Endgame+27
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
9Coral scored#21
34Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
70Total teleop96
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#8
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#29
BargeRed +6
20Cage & park14
20Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points2
106Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#12
61.32.8
64.962.1
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End7.4
red by 8.1
53.11.0
51.452.5
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
Second
9128
#18
51.12.8
52.649.8
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
red by 3.0
6357
#14
48.11.0
43.744.7
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
Third
6488
#38
24.82.8
27.825.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End2.4
red by 6.0
4717
#32
18.81.0
19.220.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned