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Red108
637741.6
918128.9
887428.5
Blue209
941840.0
300592.0
557263.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102216050150200250300108209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+85
Endgame+95
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points42
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +64
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points70
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#11
12Processor points24
8Net points44
20Algae points68
74Total teleop138
Reef
8L4#12
6L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points6
108Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#27
41.60.4
42.542.2
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
blue by 50.4
92.00.0
89.789.7
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
Second
9181
#24
28.90.4
31.431.0
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End7.6
blue by 34.3
63.30.0
61.161.2
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
Third
8874
#37
28.50.4
28.628.2
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
blue by 11.5
9418
#11
40.00.0
40.440.4
Auto7.1
Teleop27.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned