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Red103
463938.2
45747.0
637741.6
Blue124
928918.2
557263.3
578832.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16713580100120160180200220103124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points16
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
6Processor points12
4Net points28
10Algae points40
60Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#6
7L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
103Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#8
47.02.6
50.147.6
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4
blue by 16.3
63.30.1
61.261.3
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
Second
6377
#27
41.62.6
42.239.6
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
red by 9.0
5788
#36
32.60.1
32.532.6
Auto7.5
Teleop23.8
End1.3
Third
4639
#22
38.22.6
40.037.5
Auto6.6
Teleop28.4
End3.2
red by 20.0
9289
#35
18.20.1
18.818.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned