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Red216
331062.0
300592.0
258352.2
Blue165
295021.8
635748.1
541164.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225140100200250300216165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points24
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +24
30Coral scored#20
109Coral points73
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
12Processor points24
24Net points24
36Algae points48
145Total teleop121
Reef
15L4#9
11L3#9
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
216Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.00.4
89.790.1
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
red by 27.6
5411
#10
64.41.5
63.765.2
Auto15.1
Teleop39.1
End10.2
Second
62.00.4
55.155.5
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
red by 13.9
6357
#14
48.11.5
44.746.2
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
Third
2583
#23
52.20.4
51.752.1
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
red by 30.5
2950
#33
21.81.5
20.321.8
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned