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Red141
284852.7
712153.8
912113.6
Blue119
354533.0
246862.4
624330.8
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12415380100140160180200220141119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+44Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +23
20Coral scored#15
73Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
95Total teleop72
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#4
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
141Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#13
53.81.1
50.851.9
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
blue by 8.6
62.41.4
61.860.4
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
Second
2848
#16
52.71.1
49.750.8
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
red by 19.7
3545
#34
33.01.4
34.433.0
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
Third
9121
#44
13.61.1
12.413.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 17.3
6243
#26
30.81.4
32.230.8
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned