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Red122
951227.7
1034050.0
837028.7
Blue136
1001453.1
887428.5
711940.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11614050100150200122136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
98Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#7
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
122Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.4
48.849.2
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
blue by 3.2
53.10.3
52.552.8
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
Second
8370
#39
28.70.4
28.328.7
Auto4.6
Teleop20.9
End3.2
blue by 11.5
7119
#19
40.20.3
39.940.2
Auto10.1
Teleop22.0
End8.0
Third
9512
#40
27.70.4
27.327.7
Auto4.7
Teleop23.1
End-0.1
blue by 0.8
8874
#37
28.50.3
28.228.5
Auto5.6
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned