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Red88
258542.6
356131.9
367935.0
Blue150
32453.1
912851.1
463938.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211545010020088150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+54
Endgame+64
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +52
8Coral scored#19
30Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
52Total teleop104
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
6Foul points4
88Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2585
#20
42.62.3
44.742.4
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
blue by 10.4
324
#7
53.10.5
50.651.1
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
Second
3679
#28
35.02.3
37.335.0
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
blue by 16.1
9128
#18
51.10.5
49.850.3
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Third
3561
#30
31.92.3
34.231.9
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
blue by 6.3
4639
#22
38.20.5
37.538.0
Auto6.6
Teleop28.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned