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Red251
300592.0
635748.1
680089.8
Blue148
1034050.0
941840.0
912851.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24913950100200300350251148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+75Teleop
+97Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points34
58Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +57
36Coral scored#19
131Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
151Total teleop94
Reef
19L4#11
11L3#5
10L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
51Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +103
6Foul points0
251Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.00.5
90.190.5
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
red by 40.9
9128
#18
51.10.2
50.350.5
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Second
89.80.5
87.988.4
Auto21.5
Teleop55.4
End12.9
red by 39.9
50.00.2
49.249.4
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Third
6357
#14
48.10.5
46.246.6
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
red by 8.1
9418
#11
40.00.2
39.239.4
Auto7.1
Teleop27.6
End5.2