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Red172
1034050.0
941840.0
912851.1
Blue173
32453.1
712153.8
284852.7
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146163100200250172173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+19
Endgame+9
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +9
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points65
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
12Processor points24
24Net points28
36Algae points52
108Total teleop117
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#7
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +1
8Foul points0
172Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9128
#18
51.10.5
50.551.1
Auto11.5
Teleop32.6
End7.1
blue by 2.7
7121
#13
53.80.4
51.852.2
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
Second
50.00.5
49.450.0
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
blue by 3.1
324
#7
53.10.4
51.051.4
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
Third
9418
#11
40.00.5
39.440.0
Auto7.1
Teleop27.6
End5.2
blue by 12.8
2848
#16
52.70.4
50.751.1
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8