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Red98
749252.2
471718.8
541164.4
Blue158
258352.2
589253.9
45747.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15417910012014020022024098158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+66
Endgame+66
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points51
30Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +42
8Coral scored#17
30Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
48Total teleop90
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#11
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +60
6Foul points0
98Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#10
64.41.0
65.464.4
Auto15.1
Teleop39.1
End10.2
red by 10.5
5892
#17
53.90.1
54.054.1
Auto15.4
Teleop34.5
End4.0
Second
7492
#15
52.21.0
53.252.2
Auto12.3
Teleop38.0
End1.9
blue by 0.1
2583
#23
52.20.1
52.452.5
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
Third
4717
#32
18.81.0
19.818.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 28.2
457
#8
47.00.1
47.147.2
Auto8.0
Teleop28.5
End10.4