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Red252
300592.0
635748.1
680089.8
Blue230
331062.0
914060.6
268743.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252155100200300350252230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points35
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +19
33Coral scored#27
117Coral points96
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
18Processor points24
28Net points24
46Algae points48
163Total teleop144
Reef
18L4#10
7L3#11
8L2#7
8L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points6
252Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.00.5
90.591.0
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
red by 30.0
62.01.7
56.257.9
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
Second
89.80.5
88.488.9
Auto21.5
Teleop55.4
End12.9
red by 29.2
60.61.7
54.856.5
Auto8.8
Teleop46.1
End5.8
Third
6357
#14
48.10.5
46.647.1
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
red by 4.3
2687
#29
43.81.7
38.039.6
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3