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Red179
147761.3
258542.6
1001453.1
Blue211
557263.3
246862.4
637741.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170184100120140160200220240260179211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
4Coral scored#10
21Coral points48
27Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +15
28Coral scored#33
102Coral points119
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
6Processor points12
24Net points16
30Algae points28
132Total teleop147
Reef
14L4#17
8L3#10
7L2#8
3L1 · trough#8
39Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points0
179Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#12
61.30.1
61.261.1
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End7.4
blue by 2.0
63.30.5
62.262.7
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
Second
53.10.1
53.153.0
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
blue by 9.3
62.40.5
61.361.8
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
Third
2585
#20
42.60.1
42.742.6
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
red by 1.0
6377
#27
41.60.5
40.541.0
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4