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Red211
300591.6
635747.7
680089.4
Blue205
817740.2
118107.3
14869.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243229200220260280300211205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
12Coral scored#9
58Coral points44
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
26Coral scored#25
95Coral points91
3Processor algae#5
6Net algae#6
18Processor points30
24Net points24
42Algae points54
137Total teleop145
Reef
12L4#12
10L3#11
7L2#4
9L1 · trough#7
47Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
211Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
Unranked
91.60.4
92.091.6
Auto20.7
Teleop61.3
End9.6
blue by 15.7
118
Unranked
107.30.3
107.6107.3
Auto23.8
Teleop72.0
End11.5
Second
6800
Unranked
89.40.4
89.889.4
Auto21.9
Teleop54.8
End12.8
red by 20.1
148
Unranked
69.30.3
69.669.3
Auto12.4
Teleop49.2
End7.7
Third
6357
Unranked
47.70.4
48.147.7
Auto7.5
Teleop33.9
End6.3
red by 7.5
8177
Unranked
40.20.3
40.540.2
Auto7.7
Teleop24.3
End8.2