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Red101
999124.6
268742.1
543128.8
Blue132
288149.0
541441.2
550312.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79114050100150200101132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+45
Endgame+43
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave9
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points28
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
59Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#7
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
14Foul points2
101Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.7
41.640.9
Auto7.6
Teleop28.8
End5.8
blue by 6.8
49.01.3
53.254.6
Auto12.2
Teleop27.1
End9.6
Second
5431
#19
28.80.7
30.129.4
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.6
blue by 12.4
41.21.3
35.436.8
Auto12.1
Teleop25.8
End3.3
Third
24.61.2
16.915.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End4.8
red by 12.3
5503
#12
12.31.3
13.414.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed