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Red98
384742.4
851522.1
999814.3
Blue77
278918.4
999015.6
246849.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631070501502009877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+31Teleop
+29Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
71Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points8
98Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.42.0
45.147.1
Auto9.7
Teleop23.9
End8.8
blue by 7.5
49.81.3
54.453.1
Auto7.2
Teleop37.8
End4.8
Second
8515
#14
22.12.0
14.116.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End1.5
red by 3.7
2789
#18
18.41.3
21.320.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Third
9998
#17
14.33.4
8.111.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.5
blue by 1.3
9990
#16
15.62.2
13.010.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsMissed