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Red52
543128.8
278918.4
384742.4
Blue94
999419.1
1001439.9
950623.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112810501001502002505294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
34Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#5
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
2Foul points2
52Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.42.9
44.441.6
Auto9.7
Teleop23.9
End8.8
red by 2.5
39.91.4
39.941.3
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
Second
5431
#19
28.82.9
29.426.5
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.6
red by 5.0
9506
#11
23.71.4
25.126.5
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End4.0
Third
2789
#18
18.42.9
19.116.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
blue by 0.7
9994
#13
19.12.3
6.68.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned