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Red63
957714.7
999814.3
41843.8
Blue136
268742.1
635757.3
851522.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6312805010015020025063136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+81
Endgame+97
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +70
5Coral scored#19
17Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
27Total teleop97
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#8
2L2#8
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
24Foul points0
63Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#3
43.82.4
49.347.0
Auto13.9
Teleop26.7
End3.2
blue by 13.5
57.31.8
51.853.6
Auto9.4
Teleop41.3
End6.6
Second
9577
#15
14.72.4
13.911.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 27.4
42.11.8
40.942.6
Auto7.6
Teleop28.8
End5.8
Third
9998
#17
14.34.0
11.57.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.5
blue by 7.8
8515
#14
22.11.8
16.618.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned