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Red74
384742.4
246849.8
950623.7
Blue36
999419.1
550312.3
999124.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146190501002002503007436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
59Total teleop20
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
74Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.82.8
47.845.0
Auto7.2
Teleop37.8
End4.8
red by 25.2
24.60.5
19.919.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End4.8
Second
42.42.8
41.638.8
Auto9.7
Teleop23.9
End8.8
red by 23.2
9994
#13
19.10.5
8.98.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Third
9506
#11
23.72.8
26.523.7
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End4.0
red by 11.4
5503
#12
12.30.3
12.111.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed