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Red96
999814.3
246849.8
1001439.9
Blue87
550312.3
543128.8
857644.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101850501502002503003504009687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+21Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
62Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
96Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.1
45.045.1
Auto7.2
Teleop37.8
End4.8
red by 4.9
8576
#10
44.90.6
38.939.5
Auto4.7
Teleop33.4
End6.8
Second
39.90.1
41.341.4
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
red by 11.2
5431
#19
28.80.6
27.127.7
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.6
Third
9998
#17
14.30.1
8.58.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.5
red by 2.0
5503
#12
12.30.6
11.712.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned