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Red142
635757.3
384742.4
541441.2
Blue55
278918.4
957714.7
268742.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15660010020025014255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+73Teleop
+91Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +56
20Coral scored#8
71Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
95Total teleop39
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#2
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#10
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points4
142Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.7
53.454.1
Auto9.4
Teleop41.3
End6.6
red by 15.2
42.11.1
40.439.3
Auto7.6
Teleop28.8
End5.8
Second
42.40.7
38.839.4
Auto9.7
Teleop23.9
End8.8
red by 24.0
2789
#18
18.41.1
16.114.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Third
41.20.7
39.940.5
Auto12.1
Teleop25.8
End3.3
red by 26.5
9577
#15
14.71.1
11.510.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed