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Red116
41843.8
950623.7
246849.8
Blue66
543128.8
288149.0
851522.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210205015020025030011666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+44Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
74Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
6Foul points0
116Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.4
45.144.7
Auto7.2
Teleop37.8
End4.8
red by 0.9
49.02.0
47.445.5
Auto12.2
Teleop27.1
End9.6
Second
418
#3
43.80.4
46.846.4
Auto13.9
Teleop26.7
End3.2
red by 15.0
5431
#19
28.82.0
27.725.8
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.6
Third
9506
#11
23.70.4
24.123.7
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End4.0
red by 1.6
8515
#14
22.12.0
20.518.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed