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Red57
999814.3
999124.6
278918.4
Blue103
268742.1
541441.2
999419.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311305010015020057103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+46
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
7Coral scored#16
25Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
39Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
57Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.4
20.021.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End4.8
blue by 17.5
42.10.8
39.340.0
Auto7.6
Teleop28.8
End5.8
Second
2789
#18
18.40.9
14.915.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
blue by 22.8
41.20.8
40.541.3
Auto12.1
Teleop25.8
End3.3
Third
9998
#17
14.31.4
8.610.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.5
blue by 4.8
9994
#13
19.11.2
11.813.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed