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Red63
550312.3
1001439.9
41843.8
Blue54
999015.6
957714.7
384742.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116640501001502006354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+13Teleop
+3Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
7Coral scored#4
26Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
30Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points0
63Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#3
43.82.9
46.443.5
Auto13.9
Teleop26.7
End3.2
red by 1.4
42.40.6
39.438.8
Auto9.7
Teleop23.9
End8.8
Second
39.92.9
41.438.5
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
red by 24.3
9990
#16
15.61.0
13.612.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Third
5503
#12
12.32.9
12.39.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 2.4
9577
#15
14.70.6
10.49.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed