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Red123
635757.3
999419.1
288149.0
Blue98
857644.9
851522.1
999814.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13347010015020025012398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points56
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
84Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
123Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.7
54.154.8
Auto9.4
Teleop41.3
End6.6
red by 12.4
8576
#10
44.92.0
39.541.5
Auto4.7
Teleop33.4
End6.8
Second
49.00.7
45.546.2
Auto12.2
Teleop27.1
End9.6
red by 26.9
8515
#14
22.12.0
18.520.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End1.5
Third
9994
#13
19.11.0
13.014.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 4.8
9998
#17
14.32.9
10.012.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed