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Red133
1001439.9
278918.4
288149.0
Blue88
957714.7
851522.1
550312.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1252905010015020025013388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
80Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#6
8L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points14
133Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.6
46.247.8
Auto12.2
Teleop27.1
End9.6
red by 26.9
8515
#14
22.11.6
20.522.1
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End1.5
Second
39.91.6
38.540.2
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
red by 25.2
9577
#15
14.71.6
9.811.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Third
2789
#18
18.41.6
15.817.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
red by 6.1
5503
#12
12.31.6
10.712.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed