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Red143
246849.8
543128.8
999419.1
Blue93
999814.3
950623.7
268742.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017205015020025014393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+46Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +38
23Coral scored#14
84Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
104Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#5
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
143Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.83.9
46.049.8
Auto7.2
Teleop37.8
End4.8
red by 7.7
42.11.1
41.342.3
Auto7.6
Teleop28.8
End5.8
Second
5431
#19
28.83.9
24.928.8
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.6
red by 5.0
9506
#11
23.71.1
22.723.7
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End4.0
Third
9994
#13
19.15.2
14.019.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 4.8
9998
#17
14.31.4
12.914.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed