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Red118
541441.2
857644.9
278918.4
Blue127
957714.7
999015.6
635757.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11679050100150200250118127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
27Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +22
10Coral scored#15
35Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
63Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
118Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#10
44.91.0
43.944.9
Auto4.7
Teleop33.4
End6.8
blue by 12.4
57.33.4
53.957.3
Auto9.4
Teleop41.3
End6.6
Second
41.21.0
40.241.2
Auto12.1
Teleop25.8
End3.3
red by 25.6
9990
#16
15.64.5
11.115.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Third
2789
#18
18.41.0
17.518.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
red by 3.7
9577
#15
14.73.4
11.414.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned