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Red149
41843.8
384742.4
288149.0
Blue104
1001439.9
999124.6
268742.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14997050200250300350149104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+25Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points25
26Total auto28
TeleoperatedRed +27
18Coral scored#12
65Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
97Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
149Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.2
47.849.0
Auto12.2
Teleop27.1
End9.6
red by 6.8
42.10.2
42.342.1
Auto7.6
Teleop28.8
End5.8
Second
418
#3
43.81.2
42.643.8
Auto13.9
Teleop26.7
End3.2
red by 3.9
39.90.2
40.239.9
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
Third
42.41.2
41.242.4
Auto9.7
Teleop23.9
End8.8
red by 17.8
24.60.3
24.924.6
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed