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Red27
851522.1
278918.4
950623.7
Blue117
268742.1
41843.8
857644.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7116905010015020025030027117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+90
Endgame+90
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +69
2Coral scored#18
8Coral points63
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
12Total teleop81
Reef
1L4#9
1L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points0
27Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9506
#11
23.73.3
35.231.9
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End4.0
blue by 21.2
8576
#10
44.91.7
50.849.1
Auto4.7
Teleop33.4
End6.8
Second
8515
#14
22.13.3
17.113.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End1.5
blue by 21.7
418
#3
43.81.7
48.646.9
Auto13.9
Teleop26.7
End3.2
Third
2789
#18
18.43.3
24.721.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
blue by 23.7
42.11.7
43.842.0
Auto7.6
Teleop28.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsMissed