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Red103
541441.2
384742.4
1001439.9
Blue100
635757.3
288149.0
999814.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138122050100150200103100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
57Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points6
103Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.41.8
46.945.1
Auto9.7
Teleop23.9
End8.8
blue by 14.9
57.32.2
56.354.1
Auto9.4
Teleop41.3
End6.6
Second
41.21.8
37.936.1
Auto12.1
Teleop25.8
End3.3
blue by 7.8
49.02.2
57.254.9
Auto12.2
Teleop27.1
End9.6
Third
39.91.8
41.639.8
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
red by 25.6
9998
#17
14.33.7
11.27.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned