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Red70
857644.9
999419.1
543128.8
Blue75
278918.4
550312.3
268742.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111760501001502007075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+3Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
58Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
70Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#10
44.91.5
49.147.5
Auto4.7
Teleop33.4
End6.8
red by 2.8
42.10.1
42.041.9
Auto7.6
Teleop28.8
End5.8
Second
5431
#19
28.81.5
33.031.4
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.6
red by 10.3
2789
#18
18.40.1
21.421.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Third
9994
#13
19.12.6
11.28.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 6.8
5503
#12
12.30.1
13.213.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed