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Red85
268742.1
999419.1
1001439.9
Blue109
288149.0
246849.8
851522.1
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9814905020025085109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +10
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
55Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points8
85Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#8Sur
42.10.4
41.941.6
Auto7.6
Teleop28.8
End5.8
blue by 7.7
49.81.7
56.154.4
Auto7.2
Teleop37.8
End4.8
Second
39.90.4
39.839.5
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
blue by 9.0
2881
#6Sur
49.01.7
54.953.2
Auto12.2
Teleop27.1
End9.6
Third
9994
#13
19.10.6
8.68.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End1.4
blue by 3.0
8515
#14
22.11.7
15.914.1
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned