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Red180
300576.2
271456.2
471715.4
Blue121
464138.5
543138.0
915628.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16210350150200250180121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+39Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
19Coral scored#23
69Coral points81
2Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
12Processor points6
36Net points12
48Algae points18
117Total teleop99
Reef
11L4#7
6L3#11
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#30
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
180Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.8
74.975.7
Auto17.9
Teleop49.7
End8.6
red by 37.7
38.50.4
37.738.1
Auto9.4
Teleop26.1
End3.1
Second
56.20.8
54.955.7
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 18.2
5431
#11
38.00.4
37.237.6
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
Third
4717
#23
15.40.8
14.014.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 12.7
9156
#20
28.10.4
27.327.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8