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Red124
464138.5
543138.0
915628.1
Blue121
667240.3
367626.2
914039.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711250150200124121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+9
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
76Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points4
124Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.4
37.337.7
Auto9.4
Teleop26.1
End3.1
blue by 1.8
40.30.3
40.140.3
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
Second
5431
#11
38.00.4
36.837.2
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
blue by 1.5
9140
#17
39.50.3
39.239.5
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
Third
9156
#20
28.10.4
26.927.3
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8
red by 1.9
3676
#15
26.20.3
25.926.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8