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Red159
667240.3
367626.2
914039.5
Blue84
45741.3
876919.4
712136.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181239010011013014015016015984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+59Teleop
+79Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points18
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +63
19Coral scored#9
70Coral points31
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
108Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#4
10L3#4
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +75
2Foul points6
159Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.2
38.840.1
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
blue by 1.0
457
#4
41.30.5
41.841.3
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Second
9140
#17
39.51.2
38.039.2
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
red by 2.9
7121
#14
36.50.5
37.036.5
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
Third
3676
#15
26.21.2
24.725.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
red by 6.8
8769
#31
19.40.5
19.819.4
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2