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Red27
709110.7
711933.0
33558.0
Blue39
436414.1
915628.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453802060802739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
2Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
7Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points24
27Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.0
25.524.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
red by 5.0
9156
#20
28.11.5
14.112.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8
Second
7091
#21
10.71.1
8.37.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 3.4
4364
#16
14.11.5
6.95.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Third
3355
#30
8.01.0
7.66.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 1.9
9.91.5
15.814.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned